Middle East Crisis

News, analysis, and background on the Israel-Hamas war and regional conflict between Israel and Iran and its proxies.

 

Fire and tear gas smoke rise among a crowd in Beirut.
Fire and tear gas smoke rise among a crowd in Beirut.

Hezbollah Is Weak Enough for Lebanon to Finally Disarm It

The government and army are taking back their own country.

A black SUV is seen in the foreground as smoke billows from behind buildings in the background.
A black SUV is seen in the foreground as smoke billows from behind buildings in the background.

Israel Escalates War Against Hamas With Doha Strike

Qatar decried the strike as a violation of international law.

Smoke rises over several buildings.
Smoke rises over several buildings.

The Next Israel-Iran War Is Coming

Both countries’ strategic calculus suggests it will be even more violent.

Israel-Hamas War

Samuel Zbogar, the head of the Slovenian mission to the United Nations Security Council, speaks to the press alongside other U.N. representatives ahead of a Security Council emergency meeting on Gaza at the U.N. headquarters in New York on Aug. 10.
Samuel Zbogar, the head of the Slovenian mission to the United Nations Security Council, speaks to the press alongside other U.N. representatives ahead of a Security Council emergency meeting on Gaza at the U.N. headquarters in New York on Aug. 10.

What Was the Tipping Point on Gaza?

After almost two years of war, Israel is feeling the growing weight of governmental opprobrium.

A heavily damaged building can be seen with a Syria flag nearby.
A heavily damaged building can be seen with a Syria flag nearby.
Moaz Abu Taha and Mariam Abu Dagga, who were killed by Israeli strikes on Nasser Hospital on Aug. 25, take a selfie in Gaza on Jan. 18.
Moaz Abu Taha and Mariam Abu Dagga, who were killed by Israeli strikes on Nasser Hospital on Aug. 25, take a selfie in Gaza on Jan. 18.

Why Israel’s War in Gaza Has Been So Deadly for Journalists

Israel is directly targeting media workers, rights groups warn.

Four people stand while holding a banner that reads Gaza: Action Not Words. On the banner the names of thousands of children who have died as a result of the war.
Four people stand while holding a banner that reads Gaza: Action Not Words. On the banner the names of thousands of children who have died as a result of the war.

Why Recognizing Palestine Is Meaningless or Even Harmful

Recent announcements by France, Britain, and Canada are mostly performative.

Iran-Israel Tensions

Men work inside an uranium conversion facility in Iran.
Men work inside an uranium conversion facility in Iran.

There’s More Than One Way to Build a Bomb

Iran doesn’t need to rebuild its damaged facilities to sprint for a nuclear weapon.

Participants place radiation signs during a simulated nuclear emergency drill in Tehran on November 5, 2015.
Participants place radiation signs during a simulated nuclear emergency drill in Tehran on November 5, 2015.

Iran’s Collapse Could Cause a Nuclear Security Nightmare

Washington would struggle to secure dangerous materials, technologies, and expertise.

The late Hossein Salami, commander-in-chief of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, speaks during a memorial service beneath portraits of slain Hezbollah leader Hasssan Nasrallah, Iranian general Qassem Soleimani, and Nasrallah's successor, Hashem Safieddine, at the Grand Mosque in Tehran on Feb. 23.
The late Hossein Salami, commander-in-chief of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, speaks during a memorial service beneath portraits of slain Hezbollah leader Hasssan Nasrallah, Iranian general Qassem Soleimani, and Nasrallah's successor, Hashem Safieddine, at the Grand Mosque in Tehran on Feb. 23.

Iran Is Islamism’s Last Lifeline in the Middle East

Without support from a weakened Tehran, the region’s extremist movements would wither.

A view of the destruction at Evin Prison in Tehran, Iran, after it was hit by an Israeli airstrike on June 23, viewed on July 1.
A view of the destruction at Evin Prison in Tehran, Iran, after it was hit by an Israeli airstrike on June 23, viewed on July 1.

What the War Changed Inside Iran

The regime has been pushed to the edge of strategic pivot.

Israel and Hezbollah

Mourners surround the flag-draped coffins of Hezbollah fighters who were killed in the recent war with Israel, during a funeral procession in the southern Lebanese village of Majdal Selm on Dec. 6.
Mourners surround the flag-draped coffins of Hezbollah fighters who were killed in the recent war with Israel, during a funeral procession in the southern Lebanese village of Majdal Selm on Dec. 6.

Hezbollah Is Trying to Spin Loss as Victory

Assad’s fall and Israel’s offensive give Lebanese a chance to reclaim their country.

A man in a vest holds a cable attached to a spool on the ground. Behind him are shrubs and a blue sky.
A man in a vest holds a cable attached to a spool on the ground. Behind him are shrubs and a blue sky.

Lebanon’s Demining Mission Faces Aid Uncertainty

Cuts to foreign assistance and a fragile cease-fire have made the urgent work more dangerous.

Lebanese celebrate the nomination of Prime Minister Nawaf Salam in Beirut, on Jan. 13.
Lebanese celebrate the nomination of Prime Minister Nawaf Salam in Beirut, on Jan. 13.

Lebanon’s Success Depends on Sidelining Hezbollah

The new government in Beirut is the country’s best chance for reform in years—but support from Washington and Riyadh will be crucial.

Hezbollah supporters chant slogans during a protest against a planned visit of a U.S. envoy to south Lebanon.
Hezbollah supporters chant slogans during a protest against a planned visit of a U.S. envoy to south Lebanon.

Washington Has One Chance to Help Disarm Hezbollah

As Lebanon moves to confront the country’s most dangerous militia, U.S. support will be vital.

Regional Dynamics

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi shakes hands with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on August 26, 2019.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi shakes hands with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing on August 26, 2019.

In the Middle East, a Cold War Redux?

China and the U.S. are competing for influence in the troubled region. This article has an audio recording

Plume of smoke rise into a blue sky following an explosion from a row of low and midrise buildings, several with industrial smokestacks, several without. A road a the bottom of the image heads toward the town, with a car and a person on a motorbike heading in that direction.
Plume of smoke rise into a blue sky following an explosion from a row of low and midrise buildings, several with industrial smokestacks, several without. A road a the bottom of the image heads toward the town, with a car and a person on a motorbike heading in that direction.

Ankara’s New Syrian Headache

Toppling Assad didn’t solve Turkey’s problems—it made them worse.

A man in military garb, including face covering and helmet, stands with a gun and wears a string of jasmine in front of a crowd holding flags.
A man in military garb, including face covering and helmet, stands with a gun and wears a string of jasmine in front of a crowd holding flags.

How Israel’s Strikes on the Houthis Will Change Yemen

For years, the group has relied on the perception that it is untouchable.

Sharaa sits in an ornately decorated armchair with his hands folded in his lap. He is in his young 40s, wearing a suit and a beard. Barrack, an older bald man who also wears a suit, sits in another armchair at a diagonal. They face small low tables with water glasses on them; a Syrian flag hangs in the corner.
Sharaa sits in an ornately decorated armchair with his hands folded in his lap. He is in his young 40s, wearing a suit and a beard. Barrack, an older bald man who also wears a suit, sits in another armchair at a diagonal. They face small low tables with water glasses on them; a Syrian flag hangs in the corner.

Qué Sharaa, Sharaa

With concrete steps, Washington can keep Syria’s future on track.

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Pres. Bill Clinton (C) w. (L-R) Mideast peaceniks King Hussein, PM Rabin, PLO chmn. Arafat & Pres. Mubarak in WH Rose Garden for Israeli-Palestinian accord signing.    (Photo by Dirck Halstead/Getty Images)
Pres. Bill Clinton (C) w. (L-R) Mideast peaceniks King Hussein, PM Rabin, PLO chmn. Arafat & Pres. Mubarak in WH Rose Garden for Israeli-Palestinian accord signing. (Photo by Dirck Halstead/Getty Images)

Why the Oslo Peace Process Failed

And what it means for future negotiators.

Hussein al-Sheikh attends the funeral of former Palestinian Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei in Ramallah in the occupied West Bank.
Hussein al-Sheikh attends the funeral of former Palestinian Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei in Ramallah in the occupied West Bank.

The Palestinian Leader Who Survived the Death of Palestine

What would it mean for Hussein al-Sheikh to lead a people whose dream of independence is no longer alive? This article has an audio recording

A Palestinian is seen from behind as they look outside through a large broken window. Some shards of fractured glass remain in the frame, but the rest of the opening reveals dark smoke billowing from a dense street of buildings in Gaza City. The sky is otherwise light but hazy.
A Palestinian is seen from behind as they look outside through a large broken window. Some shards of fractured glass remain in the frame, but the rest of the opening reveals dark smoke billowing from a dense street of buildings in Gaza City. The sky is otherwise light but hazy.
A Palestinian man carries his child to cross a roadblock in the West Bank city of Hebron in 2003. Rubble fills the land he walks across and barbed wire coils in front of him. A woman with a head covering follows behind them.
A Palestinian man carries his child to cross a roadblock in the West Bank city of Hebron in 2003. Rubble fills the land he walks across and barbed wire coils in front of him. A woman with a head covering follows behind them.

All the Palestinians Got From Oslo Was KFC

Thirty years of the peace process has left us with less land and fewer rights.

Latest Stories

Two people watch the sunset in Jerusalem.
Two people watch the sunset in Jerusalem.

A Middle East Paradox

The Palestinian-Israeli conflict has never been more dire—or riper for resolution.

Protesters raise placards and wave national flags during a demonstration in front of the U.S. Embassy in Tel Aviv.
Protesters raise placards and wave national flags during a demonstration in front of the U.S. Embassy in Tel Aviv.
A Chinese journalist wearing a helmet and a bulletproof vest labeled "PRESS" speaks into a microphone while broadcasting for CCTV. In the background are fields and trees, and beyond that is the Gaza Strip, where columns of smoke from bombed buildings rise against a blue sky.
A Chinese journalist wearing a helmet and a bulletproof vest labeled "PRESS" speaks into a microphone while broadcasting for CCTV. In the background are fields and trees, and beyond that is the Gaza Strip, where columns of smoke from bombed buildings rise against a blue sky.

China’s Problem With the Genocide Case Against Israel

Beijing backs the Palestinians in Gaza but faces its own genocide accusations at home.

An Israeli tank sits on a dusty hill along a fence in southern Israel. The damaged buildings of the Gaza Strip fill the landscape in the distance. Some buildings have been entirely leveled; others are barely standing, with their windows blown out and walls crumbling.
An Israeli tank sits on a dusty hill along a fence in southern Israel. The damaged buildings of the Gaza Strip fill the landscape in the distance. Some buildings have been entirely leveled; others are barely standing, with their windows blown out and walls crumbling.

Six Steps Israel Must Take to Win the War

Netanyahu needs to scale back war aims and compromise on core issues.

Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu greets U.S. President Joe Biden upon his arrival at Tel Aviv.
Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu greets U.S. President Joe Biden upon his arrival at Tel Aviv.

Why an End to the War in Gaza Is Still Far Off

A major U.S. diplomatic push is unlikely this year.

Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud delivers a speech during a meeting on the situation in the Gaza Strip on the sidelines of a ceremony marking the 75th anniversary of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights at the United Nations offices in Geneva, on Dec. 12, 2023.
Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud delivers a speech during a meeting on the situation in the Gaza Strip on the sidelines of a ceremony marking the 75th anniversary of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights at the United Nations offices in Geneva, on Dec. 12, 2023.

What Gulf States Want in Gaza

Getting rid of Hamas could intensify regional rivalries for influence.

Three people wearing T-shirts and hoodies look up at a TV screen showing a news broadcast announcing the release of people from Hamas captivity. The walls of the kibbtz shelter where they sit are lined with historical photos.
Three people wearing T-shirts and hoodies look up at a TV screen showing a news broadcast announcing the release of people from Hamas captivity. The walls of the kibbtz shelter where they sit are lined with historical photos.

On Israeli TV News, Scenes of Palestinian Suffering Are Rare

The coverage could be contributing to a perception gap about the war in Gaza.

A protester sits cross-legged on the ground, wearing a keffiyeh, and flashes the victory sign. A fire rages behind the security gate of the U.S. embassy behind him. A person is seen behind him in the distance leaning over.
A protester sits cross-legged on the ground, wearing a keffiyeh, and flashes the victory sign. A fire rages behind the security gate of the U.S. embassy behind him. A person is seen behind him in the distance leaning over.

U.S. Middle East Policy Has Failed

The region is on fire, and Washington is to blame.

A crowd of Hezbollah supporters march down a street, many of them waving their fists in the air. The three men in the foreground are open-mouthed as they chant, reaching back with their free hands to help support a coffin draped in green and yellow cloth carried by other demonstrators. A paper stuck to the front of the coffin shows a photo of the Hezbollah leader whose body it contains.
A crowd of Hezbollah supporters march down a street, many of them waving their fists in the air. The three men in the foreground are open-mouthed as they chant, reaching back with their free hands to help support a coffin draped in green and yellow cloth carried by other demonstrators. A paper stuck to the front of the coffin shows a photo of the Hezbollah leader whose body it contains.

Israel and Hezbollah Could Stumble Into a War Neither Wants

A war on Israel’s northern border could be far deadlier than the one in Gaza.

An Israeli army soldier sits by a machine gun in the upper Galilee region of northern Israel.
An Israeli army soldier sits by a machine gun in the upper Galilee region of northern Israel.

Inside Biden’s Push to Head Off an Israel-Hezbollah War

Lebanon’s government seems eager for diplomacy, but the Iran-backed militant group may get the final say.

Israeli troops leave the Gaza Strip as seen from a position on the Israeli side of the border in southern Israel.
Israeli troops leave the Gaza Strip as seen from a position on the Israeli side of the border in southern Israel.

5 Reasons the Israel-Palestine Conflict Won’t End Anytime Soon

Extremists, lobbyists, meddling outsiders, and deeper structural problems mean that the issue is likely to remain unresolved.

An Israeli soldier in camouflage fatigues, with a rifle and helmet, walks out of the round entrance to a tunnel in Gaza. The diameter of the entrance is about as wide as the man is tall, and the sandy ground beneath his feet is covered in footprints and rubble and scattered with metal grates and other scrap material.
An Israeli soldier in camouflage fatigues, with a rifle and helmet, walks out of the round entrance to a tunnel in Gaza. The diameter of the entrance is about as wide as the man is tall, and the sandy ground beneath his feet is covered in footprints and rubble and scattered with metal grates and other scrap material.

Is Israel Winning the War on the Tunnels in Gaza?

Destroying Hamas’s underground network has been slow and cumbersome.

As two out of focus Palestinian flags wave in the foreground, in the background, a protester stands on the head of a bronze statue of Neptune on top of a fountain on a cloudy day. The protester waves another Palestinian flag and shouts as he leans back agains the statue's trident. Other demonstrators have climbed to rest on lower parts of the statue.
As two out of focus Palestinian flags wave in the foreground, in the background, a protester stands on the head of a bronze statue of Neptune on top of a fountain on a cloudy day. The protester waves another Palestinian flag and shouts as he leans back agains the statue's trident. Other demonstrators have climbed to rest on lower parts of the statue.

How the Gaza War Could Shape Global Politics in 2024

From India to Germany to the United States, debate over the war could have real electoral consequences. This article has an audio recording

A mortar round flies past an Israeli flag waving atop an Israeli armored vehicle from a position along the border in southern Israel.
A mortar round flies past an Israeli flag waving atop an Israeli armored vehicle from a position along the border in southern Israel.

The 6 Lessons Israel Should Not Learn From Hamas’s Attack

Drawing the wrong conclusions from Oct. 7 would make the region less secure.

Pro-Palestinian demonstrators listen to Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim speak during a rally at the Bukit Jalil indoor stadium in Kuala Lumpu.
Pro-Palestinian demonstrators listen to Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim speak during a rally at the Bukit Jalil indoor stadium in Kuala Lumpu.

Gaza Is a Burning Topic for Southeast Asia’s Domestic Politics

A distant war has powerful resonance in a region often divided by faith.

A soldier fighting for Ukraine stands in front of a destroyed monastery in Dolyna, Ukraine.
A soldier fighting for Ukraine stands in front of a destroyed monastery in Dolyna, Ukraine.

FP Live Looks Back at 2023

Stephen Walt explains why countries are accusing America of hypocrisy.

Loading graphics